Emissions of
carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels is highly contributing to the increase
of average global temperatures. It has become a significant problem for
humanity during this century, which can curb with switching to zero-carbon
energy technologies to generate electricity that would prevent from some of the
harms stemming from additional warming.
Based on different
arguments, many people concerned about climate change are looking to mandate
the installation of solar and wind power
as replacements for the coal and natural gas currently used to generate most of
the world's electricity.
The question
arises here is will this work? No, argues Michael Shellenberger, President of
Environmental Progress, over at Forbes. On the
other hand, he explains that the inherent variability of solar and wind
will perversely
"lock-in" fossil fuels making it harder and more
expensive to "save the climate."
But why? Because
power generators build and maintain a parallel set of fossil fuel plants to generate
energy to make up for shortfalls in renewable energy when the wind fades and
the sun goes down. Although, it's not the same thing to pay for and build two
separate power generation systems, it's closer than many advocates for
renewable energy would like to acknowledge.
There is one exception
to this necessary fossil fuel lock-in: carbon-free nuclear power. Like
conventional fossil fuel generators, nuclear power plants can step in when
renewables goes dark, but without emitting the carbon dioxide that is
contributing to man-made climate change. However, Shellenberger makes an
obvious point i.e. nuclear power is zero-carbon and can supply all the
electricity as needed, why build any wind and solar electric power generation
at all?
Here comes the
case of Germany. While pursuing its famous Energiewende (energy transformation)
the country spent $222 billion deploying
wind and solar power while simultaneously closing its nuclear
power plants. The result is that its carbon dioxide emissions in recent years
have been rising instead of falling.
But aren't
nuclear power plants much more costly than renewable sources of electricity?
While it is true that the costs for wind and solar generation have been plunging,
some argue that consumers in Germany are now paying twice what they did for
electricity in 2000.
On the other hand, China is
building a number of new solar power plants at about one-third the cost as
compare to Europe or the U.S. It all depends what mechanics you’re taking to
deploy solar power generation projects.
Given the technological and fiscal
realities, one can hope that the people concerned about climate change will retract
from their argument on wind and solar power generation.
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